{"id":7402,"date":"2026-07-14T15:11:00","date_gmt":"2026-07-14T15:11:00","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/localhost:8090\/balis-seasons-the-truth-many-people-dont\/"},"modified":"2026-10-14T10:02:52","modified_gmt":"2026-10-14T10:02:52","slug":"bali-seasons-truth","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/baliimoti.com\/en\/bali-seasons-truth\/","title":{"rendered":"The seasons in Bali: the truth that locals know"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Bali is said to have no real low season \u2014 that the villas do not stand empty, but simply rotate their clientele. Half of this is true. The clientele does indeed rotate. But occupancy falls measurably \u2014 by nearly 1.5 times between peak and trough. If you plan to come, you need to know both.<\/strong><\/p>\n<figure class=\"bd-content-figure\">\n\t<img fetchpriority=\"high\" width=\"1024\" height=\"655\" src=\"https:\/\/baliimoti.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/7402-1024x655.jpg\" class=\"bd-content-figure__img\" alt=\"Dark tropical clouds over the island\" decoding=\"async\" srcset=\"https:\/\/baliimoti.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/7402-1024x655.jpg 1024w, https:\/\/baliimoti.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/7402-300x192.jpg 300w, https:\/\/baliimoti.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/7402-768x491.jpg 768w, https:\/\/baliimoti.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/7402-18x12.jpg 18w, https:\/\/baliimoti.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/10\/7402.jpg 1280w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><br \/>\n<\/figure>\n<h2>The two seasons: the climate<\/h2>\n<p>Bali has a tropical climate with two seasons, not four.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Dry season (April\/May \u2013 October).<\/strong> The driest months are June \u2013 September. August is the driest month with around ten hours of sunshine per day; July is the sunniest. Humidity is lower.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Rainy season (November \u2013 March\/April).<\/strong> January is the wettest month \u2014 around 300\u2013350 mm of rainfall and nearly twenty rainy days. February and March are also wet.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>The temperature hardly changes throughout the year: usually <strong>24 \u2013 32 \u00b0C<\/strong> every month. The difference between the seasons is in the rainfall and humidity, not in the cold. The sea water stays warm year-round \u2014 around 26 \u2013 29 \u00b0C.<\/p>\n<h2>How it actually rains<\/h2>\n<p>This is where the expectations of the European investor are most often disappointed by reality. The rainy season does not mean grey skies and non-stop rain. It usually rains <strong>briefly and heavily, in the afternoon<\/strong> \u2014 for an hour or two, after which the weather clears up. Mornings are often sunny. The interior of the island (Ubud and the mountains) receives more rainfall than the southern coast.<\/p>\n<p>Therefore the rainy season is not a \u201eclosed\u201c season. It is quieter and wetter, but not dead.<\/p>\n<h2>Seasonality of occupancy: what the data shows<\/h2>\n<p>Here is where the popular myth meets the numbers. The official hotel occupancy statistics in Bali by month (star-rated hotels, 2025) look like this:<\/p>\n<table>\n<thead>\n<tr>\n<th>Month<\/th>\n<th>Occupancy<\/th>\n<\/tr>\n<\/thead>\n<tbody>\n<tr>\n<td>January<\/td>\n<td>60,3%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>February<\/td>\n<td>51,6%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>March<\/td>\n<td>46.6% (trough)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>April<\/td>\n<td>57,2%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>May<\/td>\n<td>58,1%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>June<\/td>\n<td>64,7%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>July<\/td>\n<td>67,8%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>August<\/td>\n<td>69.5% (peak)<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>September<\/td>\n<td>68,2%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>October<\/td>\n<td>64,6%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>November<\/td>\n<td>58,0%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<tr>\n<td>December<\/td>\n<td>60,9%<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n<p>The difference between the peak in August (69.5%) and the trough in March (46.6%) is nearly <strong>1.5 times<\/strong>. That is, occupancy is not constant \u2014 it moves within a wide range. The same pattern repeats in 2024 as well, which means that this is a stable model, not a coincidence.<\/p>\n<p>Note the role of <strong>Nyepi<\/strong> \u2014 the Day of Silence, which falls in March and shuts down the entire island for 24 hours. Part of the March trough is due precisely to it.<\/p>\n<h2>Why there are two peaks, not one<\/h2>\n<p>The real explanation of the \u201erotation of clientele\u201c is this: Bali has <strong>two peaks<\/strong> during the year, coming from two different groups of visitors.<\/p>\n<ol>\n<li><strong>July \u2013 August \u2014 the dry high season.<\/strong> Australians come, for whom this is winter and school holidays, as well as surfers from around the world. July 2025 set a record with over 697,000 arrivals in a single month.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Late December \u2013 early January \u2014 the holiday peak.<\/strong> Europeans, Russians and guests from Asia arrive, drawn by Christmas and the New Year holidays. December is among the wettest months, but despite this occupancy jumps.<\/li>\n<\/ol>\n<p>Between these two peaks the island is sustained by digital nomads, expats and people seeking wellness, who stay year-round. This is the real meaning of \u201ethe clientele rotates\u201c \u2014 but it does not level out occupancy. The months <strong>February and March<\/strong> remain a genuine trough, while <strong>November and the beginning of December<\/strong> are a secondary decline before the holidays.<\/p>\n<h2>How it affects occupancy and prices<\/h2>\n<p>With holiday villas \u2014 the segment that interests the investor \u2014 the amplitude is greater than with hotels, because prices are more flexible.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>High season (July \u2013 August and December \u2013 January):<\/strong> occupancy around 85 \u2013 95%, prices 1.3 \u2013 1.5 times above base.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Shoulder months (May \u2013 June, September, February):<\/strong> occupancy around 70 \u2013 80%, prices close to base.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Low season (March \u2013 April, October \u2013 November):<\/strong> occupancy 45 \u2013 65%, prices 0.7 \u2013 0.85 of base.<\/li>\n<li><strong>The holiday weeks (Christmas and New Year):<\/strong> occupancy 95 \u2013 100%, prices 1.8 \u2013 2.2 times above base \u2014 and months in advance are booked.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>The key consequence: <strong>annual averages hide seasonality.<\/strong> Four months of the year can operate at half capacity, and a large part of the annual revenue is decided in the two peaks. Therefore, when analyzing profitability, monthly data on occupancy and prices are more important than the annual average.<\/p>\n<h2>The practical conclusion<\/h2>\n<p>The thesis \u201eBali has no low season\u201c is half true \u2014 and the half that isn't true is exactly the one that affects money. The public changes, yes. But occupancy falls, prices fall, and the weak months must be planned for, not denied.<\/p>\n<p>Therefore, when evaluating a property:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Ask for <strong>occupancy by month<\/strong>, not an annual average.<\/li>\n<li>Check how the manager works with <strong>the low season<\/strong> \u2014 dynamic pricing, targeting long-term rentals at the bottom, events.<\/li>\n<li>Avoid assuming that the December peak is guaranteed \u2014 it depends on holiday demand, not on the climate.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Bali remains a market that requires understanding the seasons, not just the location. And if you want to see how a realistic annual profile looks for a specific property \u2014 peak, shoulder months and bottom \u2014 <a href=\"\/en\/contacts\/\">request an investment analysis<\/a>. We will show you the numbers by month, not the average.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Many people think Bali has a traditional high and low season, like most other destinations. But that's not the case.<\/p>","protected":false},"author":0,"featured_media":7552,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[120],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-7402","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-novini"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v25.5 (Yoast SEO v25.5) - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>The seasons in Bali: the truth that locals know - baliimoti.com<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"http:\/\/baliimoti.com\/en\/bali-seasons-truth\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The seasons in Bali: the truth that locals know\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Many people think Bali has a traditional high and low season, like most other destinations. 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